a server controlled by/for an individual (more)
getting "above the bar" of good enough "quality" of web design by leaning on Bootstrap. (Designers call me "Bootstrap Bill"... then spit.) (Alas, 80% of design/er/s don't reach the BootstrapBar.)
site for Book Review, Book Club (more)
Ray Dalio describes Credit Crisis 2008 as a "D-Process". But now you can ask yourself, OK, when was the last time bank stocks went down so much? When was the last time the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve, or any central bank, exploded like it has? When was the last time interest rates went to zero, essentially, making monetary policy as we know it ineffective? When was the last time we had Deflation? The answers to those questions all point to times other than the U.S. post-WorldWarII experience. This was the dynamic that occurred in Japan in the '90s, that occurred in Latin America in the '80s, and that occurred in the Great Depression in the '30s... Then begins the reversal process, and that becomes self-reinforcing, too. In the simplest sense, the country reaches the point when it needs a Debt Restructuring... This has happened in Latin America regularly. Emerging countries default, and then restructure. It is an essential process to get them economically healthy. We will go through a giant debt-restructuring, because we either have to bring debt-service payments down so they are low relative to incomes - the cash flows that are being produced to service them - or we are going to have to raise incomes by printing a lot of money. It isn't complicated. It is the same as all bankruptcies, but when it happens pervasively to a country, and the country has a lot of Foreign Debt denominated in its own currency, it is preferable to print money and devalue... What the Federal Reserve has done and what the Treasury has done, by and large, is to take an existing debt and say they will own it or lend against it. But they haven't said they are going to write down the debt and cut debt payments each month. There has been little in the way of debt relief yet. Very, very few actual mortgages have been restructured. Very little corporate debt has been restructured... Only when those debts are actually written down will we get to the point where we will have credit growth. There is a Mortgage Debt piece that will need to be restructured. There is a giant financial-sector piece - banks and Investment Bank-s and whatever is left of the financial sector - that will need to be restructured. There is a Corporate Debt piece that will need to be restructured, and then there is a commercial-RealEstate piece that will need to be restructured. (more)
want to build Random antilibrary/ToRead-Paragraph app (more)
I'm pondering some thoughts around gardening an Agile Product Development process, inspired by (more)
Ben Hunt: Why Am I Reading This Now? Game of Thrones’ creators David Benioff and D.B. Weiss are set to adapt the hit book Three Body Problem trilogy for Netflix. The Senators’ accuse the streamer of “normalizing” China’s extra-judicial detention of over one million Muslims in Xinjiang, referencing past comments from the books’ author Liu Cixin supporting the program. (more)
Ben Hunt: Why Am I Reading This NOW? Do I think that both China and Russia are bad actors through and through? Do I think their cadres and apparatchiks will stop at nothing to promote their state interests and undermine the state interests of the United States? YES. Do I ALSO think that Western governments and their cadres and apparatchiks – including their useful idiots in the media – will stop at nothing to promote their state interests? Yes. Yes, I do. (more)
reminder from Epsilon Theory that nothing in media is organic. See Semantic Signature.
I just discovered Tim Carmody's New Liberal Arts (free) EBook which he put out a couple years ago. (Written with lots of other people.) (more)
Robert Heinlein: A human being should be able to: change a diaper, plan an (more)
Josh Kaufman re-frames the "TenKHours of Deliberate Practice to Mastery" rule and claims you can learn any skill pretty well (Good Enough?) with 20 hours of practice. (more)
team sports for kids (fyi a big business with a growing private equity involvement) (more)
Jacob Falkovich: Winning is For Losers. Imagine if we were trying to design a Community of people devoted to cooperation, based on everything we learned about competitive and cooperative games. How should we approach this? We would build a community dedicated to creating something new, a freshly baked pie. It would have to be a long-term project. It would have an important and purely collective reward at stake, like protecting against a common tragedy (Grand Challenge, Plausible Promise). It would involve a bunch of weirdos. It would be something like transhumanism. (more)
Retroactive Public Goods Funding. Note: The Optimism team has long been in search of a solution on how to sustainably fund public goods, and we now have the structure of our first experiment thanks to a brilliant design by Vitalik Buterin. This post is a collaboration with Vitalik as a guest author in section 2. (more)
EpsilonTheory model of a narrative - cf embedding?
We believe people understand the world through stories. Here at Panoptica, we aim to help you see through those stories. Panoptica is a new media site from Perscient, the longtime publisher of Epsilon Theory and the company that pioneered the field of narrative analytics. Our ambition is simple: to be the world’s central clearinghouse for the stories and narratives used to frame how the world is presented to you. Panoptica sees through stories not only within financial markets but across media, politics, sports, technology, and culture. https://www.panoptica.ai/ (more)
Saw this toot where someone has a GoogleDoc as a "Career Search Brief" (job market) (more)
This is the publicly-readable WikiLog Digital Garden (20k pages, starting from 2002) of Bill Seitz (a Product Manager and CTO). (You can get your own pair of garden/note-taking spaces from FluxGarden.)
My Calling: Reality Hacking to accelerate Evolution by increasing Freedom, Agency, and Leverage of Free Agents and smaller groups (SmallWorld) via D And D of Thinking Tools (software and Games To Play).
See Intro Page for space-related goals, status, etc.; or Wiki Node for more terse summary info.
Beware the War On The Net!
Current:
- head of product for an early-stage boot-strapped company
- founder FluxGarden for Digital Garden hosting
- wrote Hack Your Life With A Private Wiki Notebook Getting Things Done And Other Systems ASIN:B00HHJA5JS
My Coding for fun.
Past:
- Director Product Managment, NCSA Sports
- CTO/Product Manager at a series of startups: MedScape, then Axiom Legal, then Living Independently, then DailyLit, then AEP...
- founded Family Financial Future, personal-financial-planning nagware for parents
- consulting
- founded Teamflux.com, a hosting service for wiki-based collaboration spaces.
- founded Wikilogs.com, a hosting service for WikiLog-s (wiki-based weblogs).
Agile Product Development, Product Management from MVP to Product-Market Fit, Adding Product To Your Startup Team, Agility, Context, and Team Agency, (2022-10-12) Accidental Learnings of a Journeyman Product Manager
Oligarchy; Big Levers, Theory of Change, Change the World, (2020-06-27) Ways To Nudge Future; Network Enlightenment, Optimistic Near Future Vision; Huge Invention; Alternatives To A College Degree; Credit Crisis 2008; Economic Transition; Network Economy; Making A Living; Varieties Of Info Technology Jobs; Generative Schooling; Product Oriented Unschooling; Reality Hacker; A 20th Century Economic Theory
FluxGarden; Network Enlightenment Ecosystem; ThinkingTools Interaction as Medium; Hypermedia Pattern Language; Everyone Needs Their Own ThinkingSpace; Digital Garden; Virtual ThinkingSpace; Thinking Tools Companies; Webs Of Thinkers And Thoughts; My CollaborationWare History; Wiki Proliferation; Portal Collaboration Roadmap; Wiki For GroupWare, Overlapping Scopes Of Collaboration, Email Discussion Beside Wiki, Wiki For CollaborationWare, Collaboration Roadmap; Sister Sites; Wiki Hack
Personal Cloud; 2018-11-29-NextOpenInfrastructure, 2018-11-15-BooksVsTweets; Stream/Flow Vs Garden/Stock
Social Warrens; Culture War; 2017-02-15-MindmapCultureWarSocialMediaEconomy; Cultural Pluralism
Fractally Generative Pattern Language, Small Tribe, SimplestThing, Becoming A Reality Hacker, Less-Bullshit Living, The Craft; Games To Play; Evolution, Hack Your Life With A Private Wiki Notebook, Getting Things Done, And Other Systems
Digital Therapeutics, (2021-05-26) Pondering a Mental Health space, CoachBot; Inside-Out Markov Chain


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